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Application of ARAMIS in quantitative risk analysis of chemicals tank field
ZHANG Xin-mei1, ZENG Yue-mei1, CHEN Chen2
(1.College of Mechanical and Electronic Engineering in China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, China;2.College of Economics and Management in China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, China)
Abstract:
ARAMIS(accidental risk assessment methodology for industries system) proposed in European Commission was introduced into the quantitative analysis of a chemical tank field. Based on the selection of equipment type and referred critical event, the probability of critical event was calculated by the establishment of bow-tie figure. Then accident scenario of fire of the tank field was determined according to the risk matrix which is coexisted by the probability and consequence of the accident. The target vulnerability of the plant surroundings was achieved by the models of the ARAMIS and the quantitative risk analysis results of specific accident scenarios were given. The results indicate that ARAMIS reveals good performance in the analysis of risk characteristic and risk expansion and it can provide the technique support for the risk assessment and optimization in chemical industry zones.
Key words:  ARAMIS  accident scenario  severity  vulnerability  applications