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Potential estimation of hot dry rock geothermal resources in sedimentary basins:a case study from Jianhu Uplift, Subei Basin, China
DUAN Zhongfeng1,2, LI Fulai1,2, YANG Yonghong3, YU Xiang1,2, WANG Kaining1,2
(1.National Key Laboratory of Deep Oil and Gas(China University of Petroleum (East China)), Qingdao 266580, China;2.School of Geosciences in China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao 266580, China;3.Exploration and Development Research Institute, SINOPEC Shengli Oilfield Company, Dongying 257029, China)
Abstract:
This study presents an estimation of the potential of hot dry rock (HDR) resources in Jianhu Uplift, Subei Basin, demonstrating the feasibility of exploring HDR geothermal resources within the East China sedimentary basin. An integrated geological investigation was conducted, involving field work, laboratory measurements, and numerical modeling to assess the HDR geological conditions within the study area. Four geologic sections were utilized to construct 2D heat conduction numerical models, which were instrumental in comprehending the geo-temperature field and determining the estimated depth. Subsequently, a Monte Carlo simulation, employing the volume method, was applied to provide a reasonable potential estimation. This modified method effectively accounts for uncertainties associated with estimation parameters. The results show that the amount of recoverable heat resources of HDR geothermal resources within 3-10 km depth in Jianhu Uplift is about 44.6×108 tons of standard coal and the generation potential is 692 769.9 MWe,more than 49 times the annual electricity consumption of Jiangsu Province in 2022.
Key words:  hot dry rock  potential estimation  Jianhu Uplift  heat transfer simulation  Monte Carlo simulation